ISII
Pivotal Thinking

Pivotal thinking for consequential decisions.

ISII’s research reads geopolitics, technology, cognition and capital in one frame — identifying structural shifts before they become consensus. The insights are public. The Member Circle are provided access to the whole picture.

The MEMBER Circle

A small circle that can make a difference.

The Member Circle is ISII’s invitation-only circle of power: serving and former officials, financiers, technologists, academics and thinkers and actors who can make a difference to sovereignty and human agency. Members receive every paper first, can receive private briefings before public release, and convene at the Institute’s salons and annual Summit.

Admission is by invitation or member nomination. Membership is for those with the will to act to create a more sovereign and free world.

The full analysis is read in the Member Circle. Membership is by invitation.

The record

Selected body of thought.

2026 The Age of Cognitive Empires World Affairs (Wiley) · Ketan Patel · the founding paper of Cognitive Sovereignty
Feb 2026 Technologies Shaping the Future ISII & Force for Good · 118 pages · the chokepoints of the technology economy
Mar 2026 Rethinking Large-Scale Investment Strategies in a Changing World ISII · the structural break beneath conventional allocation
Apr 2026 National Prosperity is the Key to Survival: Britain’s New Big Bang Essay · prosperity as the base of national sovereignty Reserved for the Circle
Jan 2026 The Themes Defining 2026 Strategic context · ten arenas that decide the year Reserved for the Circle
2026 The US–China Beijing Summit Strategic context · the great-power reading behind the year’s pivotal meeting Reserved for the Circle
2026 Intervention as Statecraft: Risk and Response Under the U.S. National Security Strategy Strategic context · intervention normalised as a routine instrument of governance Reserved for the Circle
2026 Are We Heading Towards a Third World War? Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
Nov 2025 The Tech-Leveraged Empire: Strategic Limits of US Power Essay · the strategic limits of technology-leveraged power Reserved for the Circle
Sep 2025 The World Investment Plan Capital as a Force for Good · the US$123tn transition task, priced country by country
Sep 2025 Leveraging Capital Markets for a Peaceful Transition to the Systems Era GPC research · the capital exists; national systems of enterprise decide who prospers Reserved for the Circle
Aug 2025 Turbulent Times Strategic context · the turbulence is a transition between eras, not a collapse Reserved for the Circle
2025 Technology as a Force for Good Force for Good · where technology’s benefit is needed most
2025 America the Merchant Power (NSS) Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2025 America’s New Golden Age or a Gilded One? Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2025 Project 2025, Trump and the Year Ahead Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2025 Cycles of Violence: US Intervention Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2025 Tariffs & Trade Wars Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2025 Strength of America’s Economic Foundations Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2025 Levers of US Foreign Policy Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2025 The President’s Executive Orders Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2025 The Next Four Years Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
Sep 2024 Funding the Sustainable Development Goals Essay · the financing gap beneath the development agenda Reserved for the Circle
Apr 2024 The End of Yesterday, The Future is Well Underway Essay · the infrastructure and rules of the Information Age, being set now Reserved for the Circle
Dec 2023 Artificial Intelligence: From Slave to Master Essay · the early statement of the cognitive-capture thesis Reserved for the Circle
Oct 2023 Capital as a Force for Good: Solving the SDG Gap Report · the capital-mobilisation record beneath the plan Reserved for the Circle
Aug 2023 Technology Roadmap for a Better World Essay Reserved for the Circle
2023 Consequences of Local Conflicts Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2023 India’s G20 Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
May 2022 Innovation Breakthrough: Five Opportunities to Reshape the World Essay Reserved for the Circle
2022 The Asian Half Century Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2022 India’s $50 Trillion Opportunity Essay Reserved for the Circle
2022 India, Russia and Ukraine Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2022 Xi Achieves Absolute Power Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2021 Scenarios as the Climate Changes Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
2020 Quadrilateral Power Blocs Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
Dec 2017 Global Hubs: Engines for Prosperity Report Reserved for the Circle
2013 China’s Third Plenum Strategic context Reserved for the Circle
Publishing autumn-WINTER 2026 — read first in the MEMBER Circle
The Cognitive Sovereignty Index

Who still governs how their people think — 179 nations on one ladder.

The Growth & Prosperity Map

Markets price power. They should price durability.

The Technology Index

At seven chokepoints, who holds leverage — and who is exposed?

Read the whole picture, first.

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